Whenever I’m with my dad in the car, I’ll usually ask him, “Is Derrick Rose a Hall of Famer? Is Chris Bosh? Is Dwight Howard?” and so on. Well today I will finally answer my own questions by looking at past Hall of Famers and their stats and make my own criteria for making the Hall of fame. Then I will look at 5 current borderline Hall of Famers and decide whether they will or will not make the Hall of Fame. Here are my criteria for making the Hall of Fame:
1. He must have won or came close to winning a championship as one of the best players on that team.
2. At some point in his career, he must have been among the top 10 players in the NBA.
3. He must have made at least 6 all-star games.
4. He must have met or surpassed most of the average stats from Hall of Famers.
5. Has a memorable skill(dunk champion or three point champion) or won other awards(DPOY, ROY, Finals MVP, 6th man).
In order to make the Hall of Fame each of the 4 borderline Hall of Famers that I am about to talk about must, the player must meet at least 4 of the 5 criteria:
1. Derrick Rose
First is the sad case of Derrick Rose. Just 6 years ago, he was the youngest MVP in league history and well on his way to becoming a Hall of Famer. But then his knees betrayed him and he was never back to MVP form after 2 ACL tears. The question is, is what Derrick Rose did before his knee injuries enough to make the Hall of Fame? Let’s look at his career stats: 19.5 points per game, 3.7 rebounds per game, 4.4 assists per game, 45.1 field goal percentage, and 34.4 win shares. His resume includes 1 MVP, 3 all-star appearances, and Rookie of the Year. Let’s see if this meets my criteria. He does not meet the first criteria as the furthest in the playoffs he has been is the Eastern Conference Finals in 2011. He meets the second criteria as he has won an MVP. He does not meet the third criteria since he has only made three all star teams. The fourth criteria is close as he has surpassed the Hall of Fame average in points, assists, steals, and is close in field goal percentage. However, he is lacking in win shares as the average among Hall of Famers is 98.1 where Derrick Rose only has 34.4 win shares. However, I will give this criteria to him since he is above Hall of Fame average for the majority of his stats and still has time to gain win shares as he is only 28. He does meet the fifth criteria since he won Rookie of the Year in 2009 and has a chance to win 6th Man of the Year in Cleveland this year.
He just misses out on the Hall of Fame as he needs to make just one more criteria to make the Hall of Fame. However, there is still time to meet these criteria. He has a good chance to win a championship this year in Cleveland with Lebron. He also has the potential to turn his career around and make at least a few more all-star games. His player comparison is Brandon Roy, who is not and won’t be a Hall of Famer, as they were both considered future superstars before knee injuries derailed their careers. Roy and Rose have both won Rookie of the Year and have a similar amount of win shares.
2. Chris Bosh
Next is another sad case of a career cut short in Chris Bosh. Bosh’s career was cut short due to heart problems. Had he played just a few more seasons, he would have been a lock to make the Hall of Fame. Despite his career being cut short, he had racked up an incredible resume in the 13 years he played. The Boshtrich averaged 19.2 points per game on a 49.5 field goal percentage, 8.5 rebounds per game, 2 assists per game, and had 106 career win shares. Additionally, he made 11 all-star teams and played an important role on 2 championship teams. He meets my first criteria as he was one of the best players on 2 championship teams. He does not meet my second criteria as he only made one all-nba team(an all-nba third team in 2007), so he was never considered a top 10 player in the NBA. He does meet my third criteria as he has made 11 all-star teams; 5 more than the criteria requires. He does meet the fourth criteria as he surpassed Hall of Fame average in points, rebounds, field goal percentage, win shares, three point field goal percentage. Bosh has never won any major awards, however I will give him the 5th criteria as he will go down as one of the best 3pt shooting big men of all time.
He should be a surefire Hall of Famer and will go down as a top 100 player of all time. His player comparison is Alex English. Both are multiple time all stars who unfortunately played at times where the league was fertile with talent. Both are great scorers and rank similarly in win shares. While Alex English is not a Hall of Famer (hopefully he makes it someday), Chris Bosh is no doubt going to be a Hall of Famer.
3. Dwight Howard
Dwight Howard was awesome in his prime. He looked like he was going to go down as one of the best big men of all time. Then, he demanded a trade from Orlando and has had injury issues ever since. He has not been the same and has been on five different teams in the past six years. However, he has accumulated an incredible resume. Superman has made 8 all star teams, 8 all-nba teams, and has won 3 Defensive Player of the Years. In 13 years he has averaged 17.5 points per game on a 58.5 percent field goal percentage, 12.7 rebounds per game, and has accumulated 121 win shares. Additionally, he won the 2008 dunk contest. He meets my first criteria as he carried a subpar Orlando team past Lebron’s Cavs in 2009 to make the NBA finals against the Lakers. Even though the Magic lost this series, Howard must be given credit for dragging his team all the way to the Finals. He meets the second criteria as he was runner-up for MVP in 2011
behind Derrick Rose and has made 8 All-NBA teams. He meets the third criteria as he has made 8 all-star teams. He meets the fourth criteria as he surpasses Hall of Fame average in points, rebounds, field goal percentage, win shares, and blocks. He also meets the fifth criteria as he has won 3 Defensive Player of the Year Awards and has won a dunk contest.
Surprisingly, Howard meets all 5 of my criteria to be a Hall of Famer. People forget just how dominant he was in his prime. Even though he hasn’t made an all-star team in four years, he is still a very good defensive and rebounding center and is one of the most underrated players in the NBA today. I think he has a real chance to make the all-star team this year in a talent-barren Eastern Conference. His player comparison is Patrick Ewing(yes, you read that right). Ewing has made 2 more all-star teams, however they have both won 3 Defensive Player of the Year awards and have a very similar amount of win shares. Additionally, both have not won a championship. Even though Ewing averaged 4 more points than
Howard, Howard has averaged nearly 2 more rebounds than Ewing. Ewing is a Hall of Famer and is considered to be one of the greatest centers of all time. Howard, unfortunately will not be considered one of the greatest centers of all-time, but he should definitely be a Hall of Famer.
4. Joe Johnson
Joe Johnson making 7 all-star teams is one of the greatest mysteries in the modern NBA. His stats are very solid: For his career, Iso Joe has averaged 16.4 points per game on 44.2 field goal percentage, 4 rebounds and 4 assists per game, and has accumulated 81.8 win shares. He does not meet the first criteria as he has never made it past the second round of the playoffs and has played most of his career on subpar teams. He does not meet the second criteria as he only made 1 All-NBA team and was never considered a top 10 player in the NBA. He meets the third criteria as he has made 7 all-star teams. He barely misses the fourth criteria as he is just under hall of fame average in just about every stat. He also misses the fifth criteria as he has never won any major awards.
He is not a Hall of Famer. Voters will see his 7 all-star appearances and give him careful consideration, but his lack of awards and championships will leave him out of the Hall of Fame. In his prime he was a very good scorer with good efficiency. His player comparison is James Worthy. They have both made 7 all-star teams and have very similar stats and have accumulated a similar amount of win shares. The difference between them, however, is that James Worthy has won 3 championships and a Finals MVP. This is the reason why Big Game James is in the Hall of Fame and Johnson will not.